ROGUE NUKES

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Even if this is true, there are a few apprehensions. Anthony Zinni, a retired US marine general, who was in-charge of the US Central Command, which oversees Pakistan among 27 nations, puts this in context. “The first time I met Musharraf, he said his No. 1 concern was that over half of his (military) officers had not been outside of Pakistan.” This was due to sanctions imposed by the US in 1990. The lack of global interaction, coupled with beards appearing among officers, signified more religious conservatism.

Even Nayyar says that “knowledgeable Pakistanis point out that most of the people working in Pakistan’s nuclear weapons labs appear to be near-religious zealots, and deeply under the influence of the Tableeghi Jamaat, an Islamic organisation with presence in several nations.” Pervez Hoodbhoy, Chairman, Department of Physics, Quaid-e-Azam University (Islamabad), adds, “Pakistan’s nuclear weapons are under threat from those inside the military and intelligence.”

Hoodbhoy fears that “small amounts of enriched uranium or plutonium could be smuggled out of Pakistan’s nuclear facilities. You need about 25 kg to make a device the size of (that was used at) Hiroshima. Making the bomb is relatively easy. It is getting the weapons-grade material which requires industrial facilities.” But Brig. Vinod Anand of the United Service Institution of India disagrees: “The Pakistan army is a very coherent and professional organisation. Even if there are reports of Islamisation of the army, it is at the lower level. We should be clear that the nuclear bomb requires complicated assembling, and it is not like an IED or any other bomb.”

Still, the other apprehension about Pakistan’s nukes is that external diplomatic pressures – like those from India and certain quarters in the US – is pushing the country’s administration to distribute its nuclear weapons. This is either to prevent a concerted effort by any nation to strike at its facilities, and to escape detection by other enemy countries. It may be a good time to remind readers that the US did threaten to strike Pakistan’s facilities and, in the 1980s, India had planned a similar attack with inputs from Israel until the US leaked the information and prevented any such moves.

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Source : IIPM Editorial, 2008

An Initiative of IIPM, Malay Chaudhuri and Arindam chaudhuri (Renowned Management Guru and Economist).

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